|
|
| The Dangerous Nature Of Firearm Offenders |
| By Leonard A. Sipes, Jr. |
| Published: 07/22/2019 |
There is endless controversy regarding the prediction of future criminality, The Marshall Project. Age of the offender, age of criminal onset and criminal history seems to be the most powerful predictors. Maybe it’s time to add firearm-related crimes to that category.
Per the US Sentencing Commission (below), firearm offenders recidivate more, recidivate quickly, and do so much later in life. Acquiring or using a firearm seems to be associated with a dedicated criminal lifestyle. There are endless stories of offenders finding it easy to get guns in their neighborhoods or through associates, but many choose not to carry. For example, most robberies do not involve firearms; thirty-one percent in a survey stated that they used a firearm during a robbery, Bureau of Justice Statistics, but other federal sources put the figure at 41 percent, National Institute of Justice. Offenders understand that when they carry a firearm, they are telling all that crime and violence is not situational. They are declaring their willingness to create massive injury and possibly death. There are basically two types of offenders, those who leave their home without an intent to commit a crime (but take advantage of opportunities as they appear), and those who leave their home fully intending to engage in violence or other forms of criminality. They may invoke self-protection as justification, but as every off duty cop knows, the world changes when you carry. The Crime Report–St. Louis (direct quotes, rearranged for brevity) Violent crime has become more deadly in St. Louis over the past decade, finds a new study. Criminologist Janet Lauritsen and doctoral candidate Theodore Lentz of the University of Missouri-St. Louis analyzed years of police data and found the number of homicides per robbery or assault has risen by more than 50 percent over the past eight years, from 23 homicides per 1,000 incidents to 36, reports the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. The prevalence of gun use in St. Louis is a likely factor. One possibility, Lauritsen said, is that shooters are firing more bullets, or bullets of a higher caliber. It’s also possible that shooters are more interested in killing their targets now. “Whatever is driving the use of guns is likely to have more lethal consequences,” she said. The study found 94 percent of homicides in St. Louis involved a gun from 2015 to 2016, up from 78 percent in 2004. Similarly, more than 60 percent of assaults and robberies involved a gun from 2015 to 2016, compared with 43 percent in 2004, The Crime Report. This data is much higher than other sources. About 29% of state and 36% of federal prisoners serving time for a violent offense said they possessed or carried a firearm during the offense. Violent offenders were much more likely to have possessed a firearm during the offense than property (5% state, 3% federal) or drug (8% state, 12% federal) offenders, Criminals and Guns. Conclusion Like St. Louis, I suspect that the explosions of violence in Baltimore, Chicago and dozens of additional cities are predicated on a new willingness to acquire and use firearms. “It used to be long ago, 30 years ago, no one carried a gun unless they were a shop owner or they had a reason,” said St. Louis Mayor Lyda Krewson. Those days seem to be over. Yes, the majority of offenders do not carry firearms because they understand that it crosses a line not just for the justice system, but also within the criminal community. I’ve interviewed drug dealers who made it clear to all that they do not carry and if they get threatened by others with guns, they simply see it as a price of doing business. But they are not willing to die or be paralyzed or go to prison for decades for a drug transaction. Offenders carrying a firearm (overwhelmingly handguns) is a deliberate decision and a declared dedication to criminality. Based on data, incapacitation through prison seems justified for anyone carrying a gun during an act of violence or other forms of criminality. US Sentencing Commission (direct quotes rearranged for brevity) The US Sentencing Commission examined the recidivism rates of firearms offenders compared to non-firearms offenders. Firearms offenders generally recidivated at a higher rate, more quickly, and for more serious crimes than non-firearms offenders. Criminal history is strongly associated with recidivism among both firearms offenders and non-firearms offenders. However, firearms offenders have higher recidivism rates than non-firearms offenders in every category. Firearms offenders generally recidivated at a higher rate, recidivated more quickly following release into the community, and continued to recidivate later in life than non-firearms offenders. The key findings of the Commission’s study of recidivism among firearms offenders are: The 3,446 firearms offenders analyzed in this report represent 13.8 percent of the 25,000 offenders in this study who were released in calendar year 2005. Firearms offenders recidivated at a higher rate than non-firearms offenders. Over two-thirds (68.1%) of firearms offenders were rearrested for a new crime during the eight-year follow-up period compared to less than half of non-firearms offenders (46.3%). Firearms offenders recidivated more quickly than non-firearms offenders. Of the firearms offenders who recidivated, the median time from release to the first recidivism event was 17 months. Comparatively, the median time from release to the first recidivism event for non-firearms offenders was 22 months. A greater percentage of firearms offenders were rearrested for serious crimes than non-firearms offenders. Of the firearms offenders who recidivated, assault was the most serious new charge for 29.0 percent, followed by drug trafficking (13.5%) and public order crimes (12.6%). Of the non-firearms offenders who recidivated, assault was the most common new charge for 21.9 percent, followed by public order crimes (19.4%) and drug trafficking (11.1%). Firearms offenders have higher recidivism rates than non-firearms offenders in every Criminal History Category. The difference in recidivism rates between firearms and non-firearms offenders is most pronounced in Criminal History Category I, the lowest Criminal History Category, where firearms offenders recidivated at a rate approximately 12 percentage points higher than non-firearms offenders (45.0% compared to 33.2%). Firearms offenders recidivated at a higher rate than non-firearms offenders in every age group at the time of release from custody. Firearms offenders recidivated at nearly twice the rate of nonfirearms offenders among those released after age 50 (39.3% compared to 20.6%). Sources US Sentencing Commission Bureau of Justice Statistics Reprinted with permission from https://www.crimeinamerica.net. Contact us at crimeinamerica@gmail.com or for media on deadline, use leonardsipes@gmail.com. Leonard A. Sipes, Jr has thirty-five years of experience supervising public affairs for national and state criminal justice agencies. He is the Former Senior Specialist for Crime Prevention for the Department of Justice’s clearinghouse and the Former Director of Information Management for the National Crime Prevention Council. He has a Post Master’s degree from Johns Hopkins University and is the author of the book "Success With the Media". He can be reached via email at leonardsipes@gmail.com. |
Comments:
Login to let us know what you think
MARKETPLACE search vendors | advanced search
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
|
Very efficiently written information. It will be beneficial to anybody who utilizes it, including me. Keep up the good work. For sure i will check out more posts. This site seems to get a good amount of visitors. Amazing Health Secrets
Please continue this great work and I look forward to more of your awesome blog posts. www.fitness-china.cn/commercial-treadmills
I am always looking for some free kinds of stuff over the internet. There are also some companies which give free samples. But after visiting your blog, I do not visit too many blogs. Thanks. www.nolpot.com
I wanted to thank you for this great read!! I definitely enjoying every little bit of it I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you post. check out this site
Positive site, where did u come up with the information on this posting?I have read a few of the articles on your website now, and I really like your style. Thanks a million and please keep up the effective work. nolpot.com
I’ve been surfing online more than 5 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours without a doubt. It’s pretty worth enough for me. Thanks... limanbet
All your hard work is much appreciated. Nobody can stop to admire you. Lots of appreciation. slot online
What a fantabulous post this has been. Never seen this kind of useful post. I am grateful to you and expect more number of posts like these. Thank you very much. hyip template
i am for the first time here. I found this board and I in finding It truly helpful & it helped me out a lot. I hope to present something back and help others such as you helped me. aircon servicing price
An fascinating discussion is value comment. I think that it is best to write extra on this matter, it won’t be a taboo topic however generally people are not enough to talk on such topics. To the next. Cheers bandarq online
This is my first time i visit here. I found so many interesting stuff in your blog especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here keep up the good work 정보이용료 현금화
Thanks for sharing this valuable content. In my view, if all webmasters and bloggers made good content as you did, the web will be a lot more useful than ever before. Solfeggio Frequencies Healing
Everything has its value. Thanks for sharing this informative information with us. GOOD works! learn more
Nice to be visiting your blog once more, it has been months for me. Well this article that ive been waited for therefore long. i want this article to finish my assignment within the faculty, and it has same topic together with your article. Thanks, nice share. 토토사이트
I high appreciate this post. It’s hard to find the good from the bad sometimes, but I think you’ve nailed it! would you mind updating your blog with more information? slot online
Wonderful blog! I found it while surfing around on Yahoo News. Do you have any suggestions on how to get listed in Yahoo News? I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there! Appreciate it. oklahoma mmj news
It is a fantastic post – immense clear and easy to understand. I am also holding out for the sharks too that made me laugh. Download MP3
Thanks for picking out the time to discuss this, I feel great about it and love studying more on this topic. It is extremely helpful for me. Thanks for such a valuable help again. situs judi online
I found so many interesting stuff in your blog especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here! keep up the good work... kissanime
Nice to be visiting your blog once more, it has been months for me. Well this article that ive been waited for therefore long. i want this article to finish my assignment within the faculty, and it has same topic together with your article. Thanks, nice share. Buy eclectus parrot
This is just the information I am finding everywhere. Thanks for your blog, I just subscribe your blog. This is a nice blog.. judi slot
A great content material as well as great layout. Your website deserves all of the positive feedback it’s been getting. I will be back soon for further quality contents. comprare bitcoin contantibitcoin
i was just browsing along and came upon your blog. just wanted to say good blog and this article really helped me. Casino Online
Love to read it,Waiting For More new Update and I Already Read your Recent Post its Great Thanks. Real Estate Photo Editing
Thank you for such a well written article. It’s full of insightful information and entertaining descriptions. Your point of view is the best among many. برامج حسابات
Wow, What an Outstanding post. I found this too much informatics. It is what I was seeking for. I would like to recommend you that please keep sharing such type of info.If possible, Thanks. ทดลองเล่น SA
Thanks for providing recent updates regarding the concern, I look forward to read more. bitcoin price news
Wonderful article. Fascinating to read. I love to read such an excellent article. Thanks! It has made my task more and extra easy. Keep rocking. toonlocker.com
If you operate an electric shaver then we should have available from stock the correct replacement to renew your preferred shaving model. Being one of the UK's largest on-line specialist retailers in electric rechargeable shavers with over ten thousand customer visits each month you can count on us getting it right when it comes to renewing your shaver replacement part. Our extensive knowledge base and support team mean we can supply and advise on the correct component you require. braun charger
I can’t believe focusing long enough to research; much less write this kind of article. You’ve outdone yourself with this material without a doubt. It is one of the greatest contents. สล็อตยูฟ่าเบท
I have read all the comments and suggestions posted by the visitors for this article are very fine,We will wait for your next article so only.Thanks! Ki Residences
Great post, you have pointed out some excellent points, I as well believe this is a very superb website. situs judi poker online
Took me time to read all the comments, but I really enjoyed the article. It proved to be Very helpful to me and I am sure to all the commenters here! It’s always nice when you can not only be informed, but also entertained! รีวิวเว็บคาสิโน
Your work here on this blog has been top notch from day 1. You've been continously providing amazing articles for us all to read and I just hope that you keep it going on in the future as well. Cheers! 더킹카지노 주소
This is extremely fascinating substance! I have completely delighted in perusing your focuses and have reached the conclusion that you are right about a hefty portion of them. You are extraordinary. 토토커뮤니티
I will often visit your shared articles, I hope to work with you. powerline io
Your work here on this blog has been top notch from day 1. You've been continously providing amazing articles for us all to read and I just hope that you keep it going on in the future as well. Cheers! 먹튀
A debt of gratitude is in order for posting this information. I simply need to tell you that I simply look at your site and I discover it exceptionally fascinating and educational. I can hardly wait to peruse bunches of your posts. arctic blast dmso
The article looks magnificent, but it would be beneficial if you can share more about the suchlike subjects in the future. Keep posting. The M | The M condo | The M showflat | Parc Canberra | Parc Canberra ec | Parc Canberra showflat | Ola EC | Ola Ec Showflat
I love significantly your own post! I look at all post is great. I discovered your personal content using bing search. Discover my webpage is a great one as you.I work to create several content this post. Once more you can thank you and keep it create! Enjoy! wiki media
I want to say thanks for beautiful blog sharing with us. Your blog really great resource to update my knowledge. Howsthat Business Directory
This blog was extremely helpful. I really appreciate your kindness in sharing this with me and everyone else! site
I definitely enjoying every little bit of it. It is a great website and nice share. I want to thank you. Good job! You guys do a great blog, and have some great contents. Keep up the good work. singapore quick loan approval
This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I love seeing blog that understand the value of providing a quality resource for free. fpga for mining
Your post is very helpful to get some effective tips to reduce weight properly. You have shared various nice photos of the same. I would like to thank you for sharing these tips. Surely I will try this at home. Keep updating more simple tips like this. แทงหวย
Great job for publishing such a beneficial web site. Your web log isn’t only useful but it is additionally really creative too. There tend to be not many people who can certainly write not so simple posts that artistically. Continue the nice writing heavy towing near me
I was surfing net and fortunately came across this site and found very interesting stuff here. Its really fun to read. I enjoyed a lot. Thanks for sharing this wonderful information. Groovepad for pc
Whoi, excellent, t wondered just how to cure icne. ind found your webstte by google, dtscovered todiy t'm i ltttle obvtous i greit deil. t’ve ilso idded RSS ind sive your webstte. keep us updited. ems training
You've completed in excellent work. t suggest to my frtends ind personilly wtll certitnly dtgtt. t'm conftdent they'll be gitned from thts webstte. maldives holiday package singapore
Most of the time I don’t make comments on websites, but I'd like to say that this article really forced me to do so. Really nice post! how to improve my motivation
Regular visits listed here are the easiest method to appreciate your energy, which is why why I am going to the website everyday, searching for new, interesting info. Many, thank you india visa for austrian citizens
This is extremely fascinating substance! I have completely delighted in perusing your focuses and have reached the conclusion that you are right about a hefty portion of them. You are extraordinary. horse
Just pure classic stuff from you here. I have never seen such a brilliantly written article in a long time. I am thankful to you that you produced this! stryv performance
I was impressed with the site that you created, so memotipasi many people to be more advanced, there also kunjugi me, as a comparison https://stunningjourney.com
Regular visits listed here are the easiest method to appreciate your energy, which is why why I am going to the website everyday, searching for new, interesting info. Many, thank you can i schedule posts on instagram
You've completed in excellent work. t suggest to my frtends ind personilly wtll certitnly dtgtt. t'm conftdent they'll be gitned from thts webstte. Illinois Business Directory
this is pleasant in addition to meanful. this is trendy blog site. Backlinking can be quite practical matter. you could have definitely served most people exactly who stop by blog site and gives these individuals usefull facts. best CBD oil for anxiety
Thanks for sharing the information it was very helpful for me basketball legends
w
Accidentally I have come across this site and little bit confused about the subject shared here. Here MS Contin addiction it tells details regarding the dangerous nature of firearm offenders. It very well here. Thank you so much for the updates and expecting more from here.
Excellent article on firearm offenders! This is probably true! Thanks for posting this. Kate - Tree Services Alexandria VA
카지노사이트 Positive webpage, where did u think of the data on this posting?I have perused a couple of the articles on your site now, and I truly like your style. Much obliged and please keep up the powerful work.
Thank you for sharing in this article I can learn a lot and could also be a reference I hope to read the next your article update happy wheels
This is a good site for the latest news. It almost covers all the topics Wrongful Death Lawyer and discussions are done regarding legal affairs. I like this article by Leonard. The contents are so worthy of our time. I appreciate his efforts in providing this. Keep it up.
Thanks! works great. click here
Gun control is the solution here. trickster pitch